Partnerships & Commercial Risk

LIV Golf nearly collapsed. The lesson has nothing to do with golf.

By David Mullins — Fractional CMO & Commercial Growth Leader

LIV Golf just proved something every operator needs to hear. Its sole financial backer, the Public Investment Fund, pulled its funding back in April and the league nearly folded. Now there's a new lead investor lined up, plus interest from a dozen minority parties, and — for the first time in a major sports league — player equity built directly into the structure.

Most of the commentary since has focused on one question: who's the mystery investor? I think that's the wrong question entirely.

The real story is capital structure, not sport

LIV built its entire existence on one sovereign backer, and it got exposed the moment that backer changed its mind. Strip away the golf and the storylines, and what you're left with is a single-LP structure with no diversification and no leverage of your own the moment the money decides to walk. That's not a golf story. That's a capital structure story, and it's one that plays out constantly outside of sport — in agencies built on one client, platforms built on one distribution partner, fintechs built on one banking partner, affiliates built on one network relationship.

The correction: spread the dependency, not just the ownership

The multi-partner model LIV is now moving to, with player equity built in, is the right correction — not because more investors is automatically better, but because of what it does structurally. It spreads risk across parties instead of concentrating it in one. It ties the league's biggest asset, the players, directly to the outcome, so their incentives run with the business rather than around it. And critically, it gives leadership something to negotiate with instead of sitting and waiting on one office for a lifeline. A business with three or four serious stakeholders has options. A business with one has an owner it can't say no to.

Dependency dressed up as a business model

This is the part I'd want every operator, founder and commercial leader to sit with, not just people in golf. If your growth depends on a single funder, a single sponsor, or a single distribution platform, you don't have a business model. You have a dependency, and dependencies don't announce themselves until the moment the other side changes its mind. By then it's too late to build the alternative — you're negotiating from the position LIV was in this spring, not the position it's trying to get to now.

The uncomfortable part is that this rarely feels like a problem while it's working. Revenue is revenue. A single big client that pays on time and grows every year doesn't feel like risk — it feels like success. A platform that sends most of your traffic doesn't feel like a dependency — it feels like product-market fit. The distortion only becomes visible in hindsight, once the counterparty's incentives change and there's no second option in the room.

What this means practically

The questions worth asking of your own business are the same ones LIV is now being forced to answer under pressure, rather than by choice: What share of revenue, funding or distribution sits with a single counterparty? What happens to the business, operationally and financially, in the ninety days after that counterparty walks? And does anyone else in the structure — a partner, a customer base, a distribution channel — have a real incentive tied to the outcome, or is everyone just along for the ride? Those aren't questions you want to be answering for the first time in a crisis.

Diversifying a dependency after the fact is a far harder negotiation than building against it in advance. LIV is doing it now with player equity and a widened investor base, but it's doing it from a position of weakness — after the funding scare, after the credibility hit, after competitors used the uncertainty to poach players and headlines. A commercial leader's job is to spot this shape before the counterparty forces the conversation: audit revenue and funding concentration on a regular cycle, not just when something breaks; build a second and third option into every major partnership before you need one; and treat any relationship that could sink the business on its own as a structural risk to be managed, not a commercial win to be celebrated.

Worth watching

Whether LIV's September close actually happens, or slips again, will say a lot about how real this correction is versus how much of it is still negotiation theatre. Either way, the structural lesson already stands on its own: any business built on one strategic partner should be taking notes, not just golf people.

I work as a Fractional CMO / Commercial Director across regulated fintech and golf & sport, covering go-to-market strategy, P&L ownership, and partnership structuring — including the commercial risk work most fractional execs don't touch.

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